A look into the future
4CF’s Kacper Nosarzewski takes part in a panel on the new European Bauhaus
How to improve our lives together after the pandemic? How to stop the climate crisis and ensure a higher quality of life? The new European Bauhaus is a project that combines economic, cultural and environmental issues. These aspects will be discussed at the European...
Kacper Nosarzewski on the future of protectionism
Is an erosion of the EU's internal market imminent? Free movement of goods or national protectionism within the EU? Is imported toothpaste going to disappear from Poland? To find out – read an article on the future of protectionism by 4CF's Kacper Nosarzewski on...
Does Poland have hydrogen potential?
New hydrogen-related initiatives are announced almost daily. The list includes 26 projects and 260 GW. What are Poland's chances in this field? Visit the website of the Polish Society for Futures Studies to read the article. We process your data...
Frontex Technology Foresight on Biometrics
Frontex Technology Foresight on Biometrics: the project research team, including 4CF Strategic Foresight experts, identified 20 biometric technological clusters that were then assessed during a Delphi survey to focus further research on the most promising...
4CF at the 2nd Cogeneration Congress in Kazimierz Dolny
Some of the issues discussed at this year's Congress: a new model of the heat market,how to make modern cogeneration "green", fuels in cogeneration, The European Green Deal, Circular Economy, innovations on the heat market, heating investments, local governments' role...
Olsztyn 2030+: Talks about the future of Olsztyn
Olsztyn 2030+ and intelligent transformation – the economy, competitiveness, smart specialisations, smart city. Kacper Nosarzewski from 4CF Strategic Foresight was a special guest at a public consultations debate. You can listen to the discussion here. [wpforms...
Kacper Nosarzewski on climate emigration for PR4 Radio
The number of climate migrants is five times that of war refugees. 15% of Americans declare their willingness to move because of increasingly extreme weather events in their area, according to a YouGov poll. The phenomenon of climate-motivated emigration was discussed...
Saint-Gobain Poland launches the Polish Cities of the Future 2050 campaign
Saint-Gobain Poland has launched the Polish Cities of the Future 2050 campaign. As a partner of the project, 4CF Strategic Foresight is preparing a report on Polish Cities in 2050, which will be published in December. Meanwhile, we recommend Dariusz Bugalski's...
Artificial Intelligence and Big Data in strategic foresight
We live in a data-driven age. In recent years, Artificial Intelligence, Big Data, Predictive Analytics, Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning have become hot topics. New business models are having a revolutionary impact on business processes and infrastructure....
Thales provides Mastercard and Visa with biometric contactless cards
Thales has provided Mastercard and Visa with biometric contactless cards. Is it not too late for biometric cards? Why do we need plastic? Mobile payment users of Apple Pay, Google Pay, Garmin Pay, Fitbit Pay and Swatch Pay are unlikely to switch back to...
Postgraduate course in Trendwatching & Future Studies at the AGH Faculty of Humanities
Apply to the postgraduate course in Trendwatching & Future Studies at the Faculty of Humanities of the AGH University of Science and Technology. Join a prestigious university and learn from an excellent team of lecturers. The programme is designed to provide you...
Greenwashing is widespread
Kacper Nosarzewski gave an interview about greenwashing to Portal Spożywczy (the Food Portal). Follow this link to read the article. We process your data solely for the purpose of sending information about 4CF Sp. z o.o. and its activities via...
How to make your competitors contribute to your new long term strategy?
... and keep all your stakeholders closer? Foresight can do that. To find out, read an article by 4CF’s Kacper Nosarzewski, published by the IMCI Magazine. We process your data solely for the purpose of sending information about 4CF Sp. z o.o....
How can technology develop in harmony with local and indigenous ways of life?
Is it our responsibility to ensure that future innovation is mindful of the values that shape legacy systems? Can we bring youth into the conversation? 4CF and the Resilience Frontiers Initiative have developed a dedicated foresight methodology and will be...
Economic transformation 2016–2040
Stanisław Kluza, Piotr Patkowski, Krzysztof Szubert, Małgorzata Jarosińska-Jedynak, Piotr Arak, and Kacper Nosarzewski from 4CF spoke about the 2016–2040 economic transformation, possible developments in Polish economy and business up to 2030, forecasts of further...
Planning urban development
4CF’s Kacper Nosarzewski talked about scenario-based methods for the development of strategies and long-term urban policies at the Data City Forum in Wrocław. We process your data solely for the purpose of sending information about 4CF Sp. z o.o....
Perspectives of reducing food waste in Poland
Maciej Jagaciak presented a study devoted to Food waste in Poland and perspectives of reducing the phenomenon by 2030 during the Limiting food losses and wastage — a challenge for the coming years conference. The conference was organised as part of the PROM Food Waste...
Poetry as a Futures Literacy Method
In a fast-changing world, we may be hesitant to see any contribution that poetry could possibly bring to dealing with modern challenges. At 4CF, will believe that poetry could play a significant role. Gregory Bateson, a renowned biologist, explains: "One reason why...
Halving food waste by 2030
4CF carried out a Delphi Study on the possibility of halving the scale of food waste by 2030 — in accordance with a resolution issued by the European Parliament, which applies to all Member States. The study was an element of the PROM project and was commissioned by...
Are some food companies about to collapse?
Polish food producers need to start meeting the strict environmental criteria, implement circular economy solutions and think about decarbonisation. Otherwise, they might soon struggle to obtain financing or could even witness the collapse of their companies. Food...
New applications of bioscience and biotechnology
Read about the future of bioeconomy and the ‘bio-tsunami’ caused by new applications of biosciences and biotechnologies in Bio#Futures, a new book by Emmanuel Koukios and Anna Sacio-Szymańska from 4CF and the Polish Society for Futures Studies. “This volume presents...
Education and futures competencies – megatrends
Kacper Nosarzewski talked about megatrends in education, futures competencies, education 4.0 and 5.0 during an event devoted to the Future of Learning, held as part of the Universities of the Future project, co-organised by the Warsaw University of Technology’s Warsaw...
Energy industry: future and scenarios
4CF’s Kacper Nosarzewski discussed the future of the energy industry and possible scenarios of the sector’s development in a keynote entitled Transformation 2050 — challenges and trends presented at ImpactCEE. We process your data solely for the...
How to use futures scenarios?
Not everything is predictable, but it is wise to implement good practices resulting from strategic foresight. Karolina Markowska from wnp.pl conducted a series of talks with experts, politicians, and managers who took part in the European Economic Congress 2021. Her...
Two scenarios for the food industry
If we do not address the environmental pollution caused by our companies, we may receive lower subsidies for the agri-food industry in the future. – Droughts will continue to be the bane of Polish crop producers. – A global food crisis is also an imaginable future...
Lublin 2030 strategy
The development of the Lublin 2030 Strategy by Thematic Working Groups has been concluded. The project, which involved over 120 experts, was conducted by a consortium headed by 4CF. To read more, follow this link. We process your data solely for...
Technology in times of Covid: Head in the Stars
4CF’s Kacper Nosarzewski was interviewed by Karol Wójcicki, author of the Head in the stars fanpage. They talked about technologies that helped us during the pandemic and about future solutions. Follow this link to learn more. We process your...
The Millennium Project: 25th anniversary
Twelve years ago, we signed an agreement to become the Polish node of the world's largest foresight think-tank, The Millennium Project. Today, The Millennium Project celebrates its 25th anniversary. It is present in 67 countries around the world and coordinates...
Collapse of lithium extraction: possible by 2025
Lithium is a critical metal in the production of galvanic cells, i.e. primary batteries. The available forecasts for its supply are highly divergent, with the most pessimistic pointing to the possible collapse of its extraction in 2025. Lithium “propels" the...
Innovations in energy efficiency
A new piece devoted to innovations in energy efficiency, new technical requirements for construction works, and their importance for the climate is available at transformacja2050.pl. Not all initiatives undertaken to address climate change and protect biodiversity are...
4CF’s Kacper Nosarzewski on the food sector at the Europen Economic Congress
During the Food sector: aiming for sustainable development, but hindered by rising costs panel at the European Economic Congress, Kacper Nosarzewski (4CF Strategic Foresight, Polish Society for Futures Studies) discussed how Polish food sector companies fit into the...
Three scenarios for the development of logistics in Europe
Logistics will determine the future development of the global economy. The sector directly impacts supply chain management in most industries. Therefore, FM Logistic cooperated with 4CF on the Logistics 2040 report, which describes three possible scenarios for the...
Strategic planning in times of increasing uncertainty
What is strategic foresight? What are megatrends, and which of them may be of greatest importance to Polish entrepreneurs? Who to listen to and what to read in order to detect phenomena that may affect specific industries? Listen to the ICAN Management Review podcast...
Successful strategy: path to success in a digital economy
During the Leader’s of Tomorrow Congress organised by ICAN Management Review, 4CF’s Kacper Nosarzewski discussed answers to questions such as: "Which future should you prepare for?" and "How to implement good strategic foresight practices at an organisation?" The...
What to learn? Futures competencies
Kacper Nosarzewski talked about futures competencies with Jan Gurgul from the Management Zone at SWPS University. Which competencies are essential and how to monitor the market? Follow this link to watch the interview. We process your data solely...
Grants for climate innovators in the agri-food sector
In response to EIT Climate-KIC's invitation to pilot activities addressed to climate change innovators and activists, ASHOKA Romania and 4CF joined forces to support the climate community in Central and Eastern Europe. In October, a four-day workshop, co-financed by...
Business of the future. Are we ready for “the day after tomorrow”?
The coronavirus pandemic has accelerated many trends in all areas of human life, and entrepreneurs are also facing new challenges. The future of business in the world of dynamic changes was discussed by the participants of a debate entitled The day after tomorrow....
Paths of change in social transfers, privacy and communication
Kacper Nosarzewski, a partner at 4CF, delivered the opening lecture at the Transformations Festival. The keynote discussed possible paths of change in three critical areas: social transfers, privacy and communications (especially in marketing). To watch the lecture,...
TEDx. Behind the scenes of foresight.
Zofia Bednarczyk, research manager at 4CF, spoke last Sunday at TEDx Marszałkowska. She advocated for a responsible and active approach to the future and revealed some foresight tricks of the trade. To watch, follow this link. We process your...
Transformacja2050.pl
The Transformacja2050.pl online portal, which we run in partnership with Veolia Poland, is a pioneering undertaking. It is available to all energy market stakeholders and is continuously updated with new expert opinions, proprietary foresight analyses and the effects...
What does the future of video games hold?
Gaming is a dynamically developing sector, and Polish companies are doing quite well in the industry. Future video games could surprise users — and there are over 2 billion of them worldwide — with truly magical sensations. An analysis of the gaming sector reveals...
How to predict the future?
Polish futurologists have been pointing to the possibility of a pandemic for a number of years. However, it is not the greatest of the threats they identified. Kacper Nosarzewski explains how the future is predicted in an interview with Piotr Barejka for the wp.pl...
How will the agri-food industry cope with the crisis?
Kacper Nosarzewski talked to Edyta Kochlewska, editor-in-chief of dlahandlu.pl, about the pitfalls of predicting how consumer behaviours will change when the pandemic and lockdowns end. To watch the interview, follow this link. We process your...
COVID-19 pandemic
Hope on the one hand and, on the other, intellectual discipline and avoiding false forecasts — such an approach was recommended by Kacper Nosarzewski during Boma Poland's global session devoted to COVID-induced changes. Kacper Nosarzewski referred to the scenarios of...
Futurologist on climate change: What’s in store for the agri-food sector in the next 10 years?
How will climate change in Poland impact the agri-food sector in the next 10 years? Kacper Nosarzewski talked about the necessary adaptation of the industry to the changing environment with Portal Spożywczy. To read the article, follow this link. ...
Food manufacturers need to stay ahead of nutritional trends
This year, the value of Polish food exports may increase by almost 7%, i.e., by over EUR 2 billion. The growth results from high world demand, competitive prices and high quality. Polish consumers are also willing to spend more on high-quality products. However,...
Sustainable fashion industry “possible within 16 years”
In recent years, the issue of sustainability has been increasingly discussed – both among the general public and within the spheres of business and politics. However, the future of sustainability in the fashion sector (and beyond) is still obscure. The C&A...
Foreign start-ups too risky for Polish food producers
The so-called 4th industrial revolution (also known as industry 4.0) could create substantial opportunities for the food industry. It could propel developmental leaps and provide companies with a competitive advantage. In an interview with Newseria Biznes, Kacper...
Plastics revolution on the horizon
Aleksandra Ptak-Iglewska from Rzeczpospolita daily spoke with 4CF’s Maciej Jagaciak about forecasts for the industry in the context of a new directive banning disposable plastics. To read more, follow this link. We process your data solely for...
Companies need to plan 10 years ahead for their employees
4CF’s Maciej Jagaciak participated in the Technical and engineering education debate during the New Industry Expo conference. To read a report of the event, visit pulshr.pl. We process your data solely for the purpose of sending information about...
Are autonomous cars safe?
Most autonomous-car accidents are caused by... people. To read an article that quotes 4CF’s Norbert Kołos on the issue, visit forsal.pl. We process your data solely for the purpose of sending information about 4CF Sp. z o.o. and its activities...
Social challenges of the future
In the summer of 2017, a team of 4CF experts conducted a strategic workshop for Skanska Property Poland on critical social challenges in our country. As the Polish node of The Millennium Project, we have extensive experience in finding, analysing and using information...
World of inventions. How new research shapes our future.
4CF expert, Kacper Nosarzewski, was interviewed by Rafał Wojda during a live broadcast on TVN24 BiS, a 24-hour commercial news channel. The pre-Christmas edition of the programme was devoted to possible technical and scientific breakthroughs and their consequences....
Is digital imperialism a threat?
The influence of digital technologies and their development on the global political balance was discussed in the Parkiet daily by 4CF expert, Kacper Nosarzewski. The article is available here. We process your data solely for the purpose of...
Future society – masters or slaves?
Our expert, Maciej Jagaciak, talked to Plus Minus magazine about the possible socio-economic consequences of robotisation. To read more, follow this link. We process your data solely for the purpose of sending information about 4CF Sp. z o.o. and...
Future of Labour and Technology 2050: The Millennium Project workshop
Automation, robotisation and artificial intelligence are the primary themes in discussions about the future of labour. These processes — preceded by mechanisation — began in the last century, but their development has gained momentum in recent years. The relevant...
New technologies vs. future challenges
During the Digital Economy event organised by Digital University, our representative discussed new technologies in the context of future challenges. To view the video, follow this link. We process your data solely for the purpose of sending...
Foresight debunks 3D printing myths
The media hype surrounding 3D print, caused by the first home-use devices, has already subsided slightly. Its impact was partially positive: the boosted interest created financing opportunities and propelled the development of additive manufacturing technologies. On...
Future of payments – 4CF report for First Data
We conducted a 4CF Matrix-based study devoted to the future of payments with the participation of almost a hundred fintech experts and representatives of major banks in Poland. The results of the accompanying workshop, the Futures Laboratory, were analysed by 4CF and...
Advisory project for Chief Inspectorate of Environmental Protection
Over the past months, we have successfully conducted another advisory project in the field of strategic foresight and forecasting for a central government institution. Our client, the Chief Inspectorate of Environmental Protection (CIEP), publishes reports on the...
Hyperloop. The future of transport?
TVN 24 Magazine has published our article on Hyperloop road transport. To read the piece, follow this link. We process your data solely for the purpose of sending information about 4CF Sp. z o.o. and its activities via e-mail. Your data will be...
The future of agriculture? Non-animal meat and seawater desalination
The Farmer.pl portal has published our article on the future of agriculture. To read the piece, follow this link. We process your data solely for the purpose of sending information about 4CF Sp. z o.o. and its activities via e-mail. Your data...
Robots at the gates
Kukbuk magazine published a popular science piece about the future of household appliances and systems, including IoT solutions. The author is 4CF's expert and Polish Society for Futures Studies board member, Kacper Nosarzewski. The article also quotes prof. Krzysztof...
2nd Industry Forum – panel discussion with Deputy Minister of Development
The Freedom Institute invited 4CF’s Kacper Nosarzewski to moderate a panel discussion entitled Future Aces - Ecosystem for Startups during the 2nd Industry Forum in Karpacz. The panel was attended by: Minister Jadwiga Emilewicz — Undersecretary of State in the...
4CF lecture at the Leadership School of the Freedom Institute
On June 4, 2016, the president of 4CF, Norbert Kołos, gave a talk for students at the School of Leadership of the Freedom Institute. The main topics included strategic foresight and long-term planning. The Leadership School of the Freedom Institute aims to educate...
4CF’s guest lecture at bicentenary of the University of Warsaw
On May 13, 2016, during the bicentennial celebrations at the University of Warsaw, 4CF’s Kacper Nosarzewski took part in the I'm from UW session. He talked about the latest project of the Polish Society for Futures Studies, entitled A lesson about the future. 4CF...
ECoC Wrocław – foresight workshop organised by 4CF in partnership with Man and Technologies blog
This year’s edition of Cyber Academy, an event of the European Capital of Culture Wrocław 2016 program, was co-conducted by blogger Łukasz Mirocha and Norbert Kołos, 4CF president. The participants tried to identify upcoming communication trends during a Communication...
Annual report of United Nations Global Compact with 4CF input
This year's edition of the UN Global Compact Yearbook — an initiative of the UN Secretary-General addressed to the world of business — contains an article by Norbert Kołos, President of the Board at 4CF. The piece is devoted to social strategies, foresight, and...
4CF on future of labour and education at nationwide educational conference
4CF expert, Kacper Nosarzewski, was invited by the Foundation for the Development of the Education System (FDES) to conduct a debate on the future of labour and education. The event was attended by leading education and labour-market experts. They represented, i.a.,...
BEFORE project – 4CF in the European Erasmus+ consortium
The BEFORE project, carried out jointly by 4CF and several European universities and companies, will be launched this month. The name of the endeavour is an acronym, which stands for becoming future-oriented entrepreneurs in universities and companies. The initiative...
Air defence and state security
A seminar on air defence within the state security system was held at the National Defence University of Warsaw. To watch the 4CF keynote, follow this link. We process your data solely for the purpose of sending information about 4CF Sp. z o.o....
4CF visits Chairman of National Defence Committee
On November 19, 2015, we visited the Polish Parliament with prof. Osmo Kuusi from the University of Turku and dr. Anna Sacio-Szymańska from the Institute for Sustainable Technologies in Radom. We were invited by the Chairman of the National Defence Committee, MP...
Cooperation with UNESCO on Tunisian government project
Kacper Nosarzewski visited Tunisia at the invitation of the Tunisian Institute for Strategic Studies. This analytical centre asked a group of international experts in the fields of social, political and economic transformation to conduct cross-community talks on the...
European Forum for New Ideas
The Better. Agency (formerly Goodbrand) and the PZU Foundation invited 4CF to conduct an expert workshop during the 2015 edition of EFNI, devoted to the future of education. The European Forum for New Ideas is an international congress of business milieus focused on...
Horizon 2020 Space. Information Day
Horizon 2020 Space is a two-day meeting of the Polish space industry organised at the Copernicus Science Center. During the event, 4CF gave a talk about foresight methods for the space downstream sector in Poland. We process your data solely for...
Future-oriented management conference at University of Warsaw
As a State of the Future Index V4 project partner, 4CF co-organised an international conference concluding the initiative. The SOFI V4 report, developed through cooperation between Polish, Czech, Hungarian, Slovak and American experts, was presented during the event....
Hanzehoogeschool (Netherlands) implements UNESCO foresight programme in cooperation with 4CF
The closing ceremony of the year-long project conducted by 4CF for the Hanseatic University in Groningen, the Netherlands, summed up the unique programme developed in cooperation with UNESCO. The event, which included a foresight workshop, was attended by the Ministry...
Project for Royal Dutch Army completed
After six months of cooperation with the Doctrine Development and Trend Analysis unit, the 4CF team completed a training-and-implementation project based on our company's unique methods and experience in long-term defence analyses. Apart from the Royal Dutch Army...
European Commission’s foresight conference
A 4CF representative reported the results of the recent methodological cooperation between 4CF and UNESCO at an international foresight conference (Future-Oriented Technology Analysis - FTA) organised by the European Commission. Our paper, entitled Futures Literacy...
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