A look into the future

Winners of the Climate Community Lab Competition

Winners of the Climate Community Lab Competition

The Climate Community Lab Competition is an initiative founded by Climate-KIC. It supports the inhabitants of Central and Eastern Europe's coal regions in moving away from fossil fuels. This year's winners: the Foundation of the Civil Affairs Institute in Łódź, Valea...

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Margaret Atwood, dystopias and a brighter future

Margaret Atwood, dystopias and a brighter future

Margaret Atwood has imagined a future society that imprisons law-abiding citizens ("The Heart Goes Last"), a post-apocalyptic world filled with genetically modified creatures ("Oryx and Crake") and, most famously, a theocracy that forces fertile women to bear children...

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Wrocław and its four scenarios for the future.

Wrocław and its four scenarios for the future.

4CF Strategic Foresight has prepared four multi-domain scenarios for the future of Wrocław in a 2050 perspective. The scenarios are based on recent foresight studies and will be a key element for developing the city's strategy at the end of 2023. You can listen to...

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4CF on the future of cities — TVP3

4CF on the future of cities — TVP3

What will the Polish cities of the future look like, and what will be the status of Poznań among those agglomerations? These questions were discussed on TVP3 Poznań's "Mirrors" programme by Kacper Nosarzewski from the Polish Society for Futures Studies, Iwona...

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ESG bible from Laudes Foundation

ESG bible from Laudes Foundation

Efforts to tackle climate and inequality in the fashion industry, construction, finance, and on capital markets are not happening at the right pace or on the desired scale. What are the systemic levers for more rapid change? Read the Laudes Foundation's latest ESG...

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Polish Cities of the Future 2050

Polish Cities of the Future 2050

The foresight study, report and The Polish Cities of the Future 2050 ranking were prepared by a team of experts from the Polish Society for Futures Studies, Saint-Gobain Poland Group and the 4CF Strategic Foresight consulting company. Warsaw took the top spot in the...

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Food waste. How to solve the problem?

Food waste. How to solve the problem?

Food waste: how to tackle the problem? Find out from 4CF's report for the Federation of Polish Food Banks. The report can be downloaded here. We process your data solely for the purpose of sending information about 4CF Sp. z o.o. and its...

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IdeaLab within Climate Community Lab

IdeaLab within Climate Community Lab

We are organising an IdeaLab entitled Our Future After Coal during the Climate Community Lab. The event will be devoted to the ideation of solutions for coal regions – an online sandpit workshop & funding competition. Join us! We process your...

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New interviews on transformacja2050.pl

New interviews on transformacja2050.pl

Investments prospects for the gas heating sector. Which fuels will be present on the energy market until 2050? The uses of biogas and the possibility of converting coal boilers into biomass boilers. You can read about these and other vital issues related to energy...

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Artificial intelligence in the fitness sector

Artificial intelligence in the fitness sector

Artificial intelligence in the fitness sector. We have virtual trainers, apps for diet personalisation and wearables. In the coming years: customer service, club marketing, biometric technologies. Kacper Nosarzewski from 4CF Strategic Foresight: “… within the next two...

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Anti-Dystopian Congress

Anti-Dystopian Congress

A great initiative is underway: the Anti-Dystopian Congress has been organised as part of the centennial celebrations of science fiction author Stanislaw Lem's birthday. The motto is "Talking about a future that won’t suck".  The premise: the future will be imperfect...

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The great office experiment of the 21st century

The great office experiment of the 21st century

Two steps into the future of commercial real estate and three hypotheses on the "great office experiment of the 21st century", all focused on the medium-term perspective. The first hypothesis – let's call it "cyberpunk"– assumes the corporate fusion of office and...

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4CF at G-STIC Dubai Conference

4CF at G-STIC Dubai Conference

It was exciting for the 4CF Strategic Foresight team to join the 250+ world-leading sustainability experts who shared insights on SDG-related technologies at the G-STIC Dubai Conference. The event focused on crucial world challenges and breakthrough innovations...

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Impressions from the Dubai Expo

Impressions from the Dubai Expo

Visit our picture and video gallery from Dubai Expo 2020 (below) and see wonders such as an AI-composed poem destined for space, which was based on words submitted by the visitors to the British Pavilion. When women thrive humanity thrives! We celebrated female...

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When will we be able to live 120 years?

When will we be able to live 120 years?

When will we be able to live 120 years? How does science support the process of prolonging our lives and improving their quality? Kacper Nosarzewski from 4CF Strategic Foresight talked about longevity to Jowita Michalska from #DIGITALKS Extra, a joint initiative of...

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Kacper Nosarzewski at the European Forum for New Ideas

Kacper Nosarzewski at the European Forum for New Ideas

The future of office work – welcome to the new normal! The changes in our habits caused by the pandemic and the new challenges for office work were discussed at EFNI 2021 during a panel organised by the Polish Chamber of Commercial Real Estate. The panellists included...

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Climate Community Lab

Climate Community Lab

4CF Strategic Foresight, Impact Hub Prague, Impact Hub Bucharest and the University of Warsaw are launching another edition of the Climate Community Lab, an EIT Climate-KIC project. We invite organisations engaged in the transformation of coal region economies and in...

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Kacper Nosarzewski at the European Economic Congress

Kacper Nosarzewski at the European Economic Congress

This year's edition of the European Economic Congress in Katowice focused on sustainable development, ESG, as well as the green and digital transformation. The resulting changes for business and the public sector were a recurrent theme of many debates, panels and...

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2050 National Development Concept

2050 National Development Concept

Co-shape a 2050 vision of Poland! Take part in discussions on the future and important challenges facing Poland by 2050 during public hearings at the Ministry of Funds and Regional Policy devoted to the 2050 National Development Concept. We encourage companies and...

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Kacper Nosarzewski on the future of protectionism

Kacper Nosarzewski on the future of protectionism

Is an erosion of the EU's internal market imminent? Free movement of goods or national protectionism within the EU? Is imported toothpaste going to disappear from Poland? To find out – read an article on the future of protectionism by 4CF's Kacper Nosarzewski on...

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Does Poland have hydrogen potential?

Does Poland have hydrogen potential?

New hydrogen-related initiatives are announced almost daily. The list includes 26 projects and 260 GW. What are Poland's chances in this field? Visit the website of the Polish Society for Futures Studies to read the article. We process your data...

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Frontex Technology Foresight on Biometrics

Frontex Technology Foresight on Biometrics

Frontex Technology Foresight on Biometrics: the project research team, including 4CF Strategic Foresight experts, identified 20 biometric technological clusters that were then assessed during a Delphi survey to focus further research on the most promising...

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4CF at the 2nd Cogeneration Congress in Kazimierz Dolny

4CF at the 2nd Cogeneration Congress in Kazimierz Dolny

Some of the issues discussed at this year's Congress: a new model of the heat market,how to make modern cogeneration "green", fuels in cogeneration, The European Green Deal, Circular Economy, innovations on the heat market, heating investments, local governments' role...

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Olsztyn 2030+: Talks about the future of Olsztyn

Olsztyn 2030+: Talks about the future of Olsztyn

Olsztyn 2030+ and intelligent transformation – the economy, competitiveness, smart specialisations, smart city. Kacper Nosarzewski from 4CF Strategic Foresight was a special guest at a public consultations debate. You can listen to the discussion here. [wpforms...

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Kacper Nosarzewski on climate emigration for PR4 Radio

Kacper Nosarzewski on climate emigration for PR4 Radio

The number of climate migrants is five times that of war refugees. 15% of Americans declare their willingness to move because of increasingly extreme weather events in their area, according to a YouGov poll. The phenomenon of climate-motivated emigration was discussed...

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Greenwashing is widespread

Greenwashing is widespread

Kacper Nosarzewski gave an interview about greenwashing to Portal Spożywczy (the Food Portal). Follow this link to read the article. We process your data solely for the purpose of sending information about 4CF Sp. z o.o. and its activities via...

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Economic transformation 2016–2040

Economic transformation 2016–2040

Stanisław Kluza, Piotr Patkowski, Krzysztof Szubert, Małgorzata Jarosińska-Jedynak, Piotr Arak, and Kacper Nosarzewski from 4CF spoke about the 2016–2040 economic transformation, possible developments in Polish economy and business up to 2030, forecasts of further...

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Planning urban development

Planning urban development

4CF’s Kacper Nosarzewski talked about scenario-based methods for the development of strategies and long-term urban policies at the Data City Forum in Wrocław. We process your data solely for the purpose of sending information about 4CF Sp. z o.o....

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Perspectives of reducing food waste in Poland

Perspectives of reducing food waste in Poland

Maciej Jagaciak presented a study devoted to Food waste in Poland and perspectives of reducing the phenomenon by 2030 during the Limiting food losses and wastage — a challenge for the coming years conference. The conference was organised as part of the PROM Food Waste...

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Poetry as a Futures Literacy Method

Poetry as a Futures Literacy Method

In a fast-changing world, we may be hesitant to see any contribution that poetry could possibly bring to dealing with modern challenges. At 4CF, will believe that poetry could play a significant role. Gregory Bateson, a renowned biologist, explains: "One reason why...

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Halving food waste by 2030

Halving food waste by 2030

4CF carried out a Delphi Study on the possibility of halving the scale of food waste by 2030 — in accordance with a resolution issued by the European Parliament, which applies to all Member States. The study was an element of the PROM project and was commissioned by...

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Are some food companies about to collapse?

Are some food companies about to collapse?

Polish food producers need to start meeting the strict environmental criteria, implement circular economy solutions and think about decarbonisation. Otherwise, they might soon struggle to obtain financing or could even witness the collapse of their companies. Food...

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New applications of bioscience and biotechnology

New applications of bioscience and biotechnology

Read about the future of bioeconomy and the ‘bio-tsunami’ caused by new applications of biosciences and biotechnologies in Bio#Futures, a new book by Emmanuel Koukios and Anna Sacio-Szymańska from 4CF and the Polish Society for Futures Studies. “This volume presents...

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Education and futures competencies – megatrends

Education and futures competencies – megatrends

Kacper Nosarzewski talked about megatrends in education, futures competencies, education 4.0 and 5.0 during an event devoted to the Future of Learning, held as part of the Universities of the Future project, co-organised by the Warsaw University of Technology’s Warsaw...

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Energy industry: future and scenarios

Energy industry: future and scenarios

4CF’s Kacper Nosarzewski discussed the future of the energy industry and possible scenarios of the sector’s development in a keynote entitled Transformation 2050 — challenges and trends presented at ImpactCEE.  We process your data solely for the...

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How to use futures scenarios?

How to use futures scenarios?

Not everything is predictable, but it is wise to implement good practices resulting from strategic foresight. Karolina Markowska from wnp.pl conducted a series of talks with experts, politicians, and managers who took part in the European Economic Congress 2021. Her...

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Two scenarios for the food industry

Two scenarios for the food industry

If we do not address the environmental pollution caused by our companies, we may receive lower subsidies for the agri-food industry in the future. – Droughts will continue to be the bane of Polish crop producers. – A global food crisis is also an imaginable future...

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Lublin 2030 strategy

Lublin 2030 strategy

The development of the Lublin 2030 Strategy by Thematic Working Groups has been concluded. The project, which involved over 120 experts, was conducted by a consortium headed by 4CF. To read more, follow this link. We process your data solely for...

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Technology in times of Covid: Head in the Stars

Technology in times of Covid: Head in the Stars

4CF’s Kacper Nosarzewski was interviewed by Karol Wójcicki, author of the Head in the stars fanpage. They talked about technologies that helped us during the pandemic and about future solutions. Follow this link to learn more. We process your...

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The Millennium Project: 25th anniversary

The Millennium Project: 25th anniversary

Twelve years ago, we signed an agreement to become the Polish node of the world's largest foresight think-tank, The Millennium Project. Today, The Millennium Project celebrates its 25th anniversary. It is present in 67 countries around the world and coordinates...

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Collapse of lithium extraction: possible by 2025

Collapse of lithium extraction: possible by 2025

Lithium is a critical metal in the production of galvanic cells, i.e. primary batteries. The available forecasts for its supply are highly divergent, with the most pessimistic pointing to the possible collapse of its extraction in 2025. Lithium “propels" the...

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Innovations in energy efficiency

Innovations in energy efficiency

A new piece devoted to innovations in energy efficiency, new technical requirements for construction works, and their importance for the climate is available at transformacja2050.pl. Not all initiatives undertaken to address climate change and protect biodiversity are...

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Strategic planning in times of increasing uncertainty

Strategic planning in times of increasing uncertainty

What is strategic foresight? What are megatrends, and which of them may be of greatest importance to Polish entrepreneurs? Who to listen to and what to read in order to detect phenomena that may affect specific industries? Listen to the ICAN Management Review podcast...

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What to learn? Futures competencies

What to learn? Futures competencies

Kacper Nosarzewski talked about futures competencies with Jan Gurgul from the Management Zone at SWPS University. Which competencies are essential and how to monitor the market? Follow this link to watch the interview. We process your data solely...

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Grants for climate innovators in the agri-food sector

Grants for climate innovators in the agri-food sector

In response to EIT Climate-KIC's invitation to pilot activities addressed to climate change innovators and activists, ASHOKA Romania and 4CF joined forces to support the climate community in Central and Eastern Europe. In October, a four-day workshop, co-financed by...

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TEDx. Behind the scenes of foresight.

TEDx. Behind the scenes of foresight.

Zofia Bednarczyk, research manager at 4CF, spoke last Sunday at TEDx Marszałkowska. She advocated for a responsible and active approach to the future and revealed some foresight tricks of the trade. To watch, follow this link. We process your...

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Transformacja2050.pl

Transformacja2050.pl

The Transformacja2050.pl online portal, which we run in partnership with Veolia Poland, is a pioneering undertaking. It is available to all energy market stakeholders and is continuously updated with new expert opinions, proprietary foresight analyses and the effects...

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What does the future of video games hold?

What does the future of video games hold?

Gaming is a dynamically developing sector, and Polish companies are doing quite well in the industry. Future video games could surprise users — and there are over 2 billion of them worldwide — with truly magical sensations. An analysis of the gaming sector reveals...

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How to predict the future?

How to predict the future?

Polish futurologists have been pointing to the possibility of a pandemic for a number of years. However, it is not the greatest of the threats they identified. Kacper Nosarzewski explains how the future is predicted in an interview with Piotr Barejka for the wp.pl...

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COVID-19 pandemic

COVID-19 pandemic

Hope on the one hand and, on the other, intellectual discipline and avoiding false forecasts — such an approach was recommended by Kacper Nosarzewski during Boma Poland's global session devoted to COVID-induced changes. Kacper Nosarzewski referred to the scenarios of...

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Plastics revolution on the horizon

Plastics revolution on the horizon

Aleksandra Ptak-Iglewska from Rzeczpospolita daily spoke with 4CF’s Maciej Jagaciak about forecasts for the industry in the context of a new directive banning disposable plastics. To read more, follow this link. We process your data solely for...

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Are autonomous cars safe?

Are autonomous cars safe?

Most autonomous-car accidents are caused by... people. To read an article that quotes 4CF’s Norbert Kołos on the issue, visit forsal.pl. We process your data solely for the purpose of sending information about 4CF Sp. z o.o. and its activities...

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Social challenges of the future

Social challenges of the future

In the summer of 2017, a team of 4CF experts conducted a strategic workshop for Skanska Property Poland on critical social challenges in our country. As the Polish node of The Millennium Project, we have extensive experience in finding, analysing and using information...

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World of inventions. How new research shapes our future.

World of inventions. How new research shapes our future.

4CF expert, Kacper Nosarzewski, was interviewed by Rafał Wojda during a live broadcast on TVN24 BiS,  a 24-hour commercial news channel. The pre-Christmas edition of the programme was devoted to possible technical and scientific breakthroughs and their consequences....

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Is digital imperialism a threat?

Is digital imperialism a threat?

The influence of digital technologies and their development on the global political balance was discussed in the Parkiet daily by 4CF expert, Kacper Nosarzewski. The article is available here. We process your data solely for the purpose of...

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Future society – masters or slaves?

Future society – masters or slaves?

Our expert, Maciej Jagaciak, talked to Plus Minus magazine about the possible socio-economic consequences of robotisation. To read more, follow this link. We process your data solely for the purpose of sending information about 4CF Sp. z o.o. and...

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New technologies vs. future challenges

New technologies vs. future challenges

During the Digital Economy event organised by Digital University, our representative discussed new technologies in the context of future challenges. To view the video, follow this link. We process your data solely for the purpose of sending...

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Foresight debunks 3D printing myths

Foresight debunks 3D printing myths

The media hype surrounding 3D print, caused by the first home-use devices, has already subsided slightly. Its impact was partially positive: the boosted interest created financing opportunities and propelled the development of additive manufacturing technologies. On...

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Future of payments – 4CF report for First Data

Future of payments – 4CF report for First Data

We conducted a 4CF Matrix-based study devoted to the future of payments with the participation of almost a hundred fintech experts and representatives of major banks in Poland. The results of the accompanying workshop, the Futures Laboratory, were analysed by 4CF and...

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Hyperloop. The future of transport?

Hyperloop. The future of transport?

TVN 24 Magazine has published our article on Hyperloop road transport. To read the piece, follow this link. We process your data solely for the purpose of sending information about 4CF Sp. z o.o. and its activities via e-mail. Your data will be...

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Robots at the gates

Robots at the gates

Kukbuk magazine published a popular science piece about the future of household appliances and systems, including IoT solutions. The author is 4CF's expert and Polish Society for Futures Studies board member, Kacper Nosarzewski. The article also quotes prof. Krzysztof...

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Air defence and state security

Air defence and state security

A seminar on air defence within the state security system was held at the National Defence University of Warsaw. To watch the 4CF keynote, follow this link. We process your data solely for the purpose of sending information about 4CF Sp. z o.o....

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4CF visits Chairman of National Defence Committee

4CF visits Chairman of National Defence Committee

On November 19, 2015, we visited the Polish Parliament with prof. Osmo Kuusi from the University of Turku and dr. Anna Sacio-Szymańska from the Institute for Sustainable Technologies in Radom. We were invited by the Chairman of the National Defence Committee, MP...

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European Forum for New Ideas

European Forum for New Ideas

The Better. Agency (formerly Goodbrand) and the PZU Foundation invited 4CF to conduct an expert workshop during the 2015 edition of EFNI, devoted to the future of education. The European Forum for New Ideas is an international congress of business milieus focused on...

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Horizon 2020 Space. Information Day

Horizon 2020 Space. Information Day

Horizon 2020 Space is a two-day meeting of the Polish space industry organised at the Copernicus Science Center. During the event, 4CF gave a talk about foresight methods for the space downstream sector in Poland. We process your data solely for...

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Project for Royal Dutch Army completed

Project for Royal Dutch Army completed

After six months of cooperation with the Doctrine Development and Trend Analysis unit, the 4CF team completed a training-and-implementation project based on our company's unique methods and experience in long-term defence analyses. Apart from the Royal Dutch Army...

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European Commission’s foresight conference

European Commission’s foresight conference

A 4CF representative reported the results of the recent methodological cooperation between 4CF and UNESCO at an international foresight conference (Future-Oriented Technology Analysis - FTA) organised by the European Commission. Our paper, entitled Futures Literacy...

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Stay updated! Subscribe to our newsletter:

By subscribing to our newsletter, you consent to the processing of the provided data. The data controller is 4CF Sp. z o.o., its registered office is located in Warsaw, 9 Wojciecha Górskiego St., postal code: 00-033.

We process your data solely for the purpose of sending information about 4CF Sp. z o.o. and its activities via e-mail. Your data will be processed until your consent is revoked through a  link that will be included in each newsletter. The withdrawal of consent shall not affect the lawfulness of processing based on consent before its withdrawal. Providing your data is voluntary, but necessary if you wish to receive information about 4CF Sp. z o.o. and its activities. We may transfer the data to our suppliers of services related to the processing of personal data, e.g. IT service providers. Such entities process data on the basis of a contract with our company and only in accordance with our instructions. You have the right to request access to your personal data, its rectification, deletion or limitation of processing, as well as the right to lodge a complaint with the supervisory authority. More information about your rights and about the processing of your personal data can be found in our privacy policy.