A look into the future
2022 EIT Climate-KIC Climate Community Lab
2022 EIT Climate-KIC Climate Community Lab grant winners have completed implementation of their initiatives aiming at civil contribution to just transformation of the coal regions in the CEE. In the Romanian Valea Jiului, the winners were striving to be...
Desired Futures Conference
The sixth edition of the Desired Futures conference took place recently in Linz. Kacper Nosarzewski from 4CF The Futures Literacy Company took part in the conference to discuss with over 50 thought leaders from the fields of business, politics, art and science about...
European Commission’s Chem4EU: Foresight for Chemicals
It was a great pleasure and rewarding experience working on the European Commission’s Chem4EU: Foresight for Chemicals. The report aims to give insights into a number of value chains that are strategic to the EU economy. It considers which chemicals and innovations...
The interview with Norbert Kołos in Gazeta Wyborcza
"The fact that we insufficiently protect nature is no longer surprising to many of us. On the other hand, the way to solve this problem - giving nature a legal status, so that nature can 'defend itself' (in inverted commas, of course, because it would still have to...
4CF online workshop within SHiFT VM grant co-funded by COST
4CF The Futures Literacy Company will deliver an online workshop on future-oriented engagement tools for sustainability under SHiFT Social Sciences and Humanities for Transformation and Climate Resilience Virtual Mobility (VM) Grant co-funded by COST - European...
How to prepare for future shocks?
Kacper Nosarzewski from 4CF The Futures Literacy Company, a guest of Marcin Piasecki in the 'Rzecz o Biznesie', talked about what foresight is, how it is useful in working on corporate strategy, in making investment decisions and in risk management, as well as about...
The new conscious consumer
Read the summary of the debate 'The New Conscious Consumer' held during the European Economic Congress. Does awareness of climate change and social injustice significantly influence consumer choices, or is low price and fast delivery still the only thing that matters?...
Competitiveness of Silesian companies
"Without the rapid mobilisation of EU funds earmarked for decarbonisation, companies from Silesia will cease to be competitive." - warned Tomasz Zjawiony from the National Chamber of Commerce in Katowice and Kacper Nosarzewski from 4CF The Futures Literacy Company ...
Artificial intelligence in the retail, food and HoReCa sectors
"There is unlikely to be any escape from any tools and processes that use artificial intelligence anymore. Some companies such as Unilever or Shopify are already using similar tools." - says Kacper Nosarzewski, 4CF partner The Futures Literacy Company and board member...
European Economic Congress on 24-26 April!
Kacper Nosarzewski of 4CF The Futures Literacy Company will participate in the panel 'The New Conscious Consumer' and, together with the other panellists, will try to answer the following questions: Does awareness of climate change, social change, injustice,...
When will the Odra River sue the Polish state?
Listen to a conversation of Joanna Sosnowska from Gazeta Wyborcza with Norbert Kolos of 4CF The Futures Literacy Company in the Jutronauci podcast. Check out whether we will appear barbarians to the people in the future and which of the changes on the horizon may have...
Want to make better business decisions?
Check out the 4CF Matrix! It is a great tool to help you identify and evaluate potential technology or other solutions based on their relative advantage and earliest time to mainstream. From technology through energy and defence to retail, it's been used in various...
Get the newest 4CF newsletter!
In search of unexpected but plausible futures, we share with you our thoughts, insights and the latest trends that may affect our lives in the future. If you are looking for inspiration, then be sure to sign up for our newsletter (at the bottom of our website). We...
SABRE Award for “Polish Cities of the Future 2050”
Saint-Gobain Poland's "Polish Cities of the Future 2050" project, for which 4CF The Futures Literacy Company conducted research and foresight studies, received a "certificate of excellence" in the Original / Commissioned Research for PR category and won the Sabre...
Key raw materials demand in the strategic sectors of the European Union
Supply chain analysis and material demand forecast in strategic technologies and sectors in the EU – A foresight study by the European Commission. In order for the European Union to achieve the ambitious targets it has set for the energy and digital transitions...
Norbert Kołos about 4CF report on the radio Czwórka
Norbert Kolos spoke on Radio Czwórka about what will disgust our descendants in 2123 and our new report on the subject, available on our website. Listen to the broadcast in Polish. We process your data solely for the purpose of sending...
4CF among Women’s Empowerment Principles Signatories
We are delighted that 4CF The Futures Literacy Company has joined the UN Women Empowerment Forum's “Women's Empowerment Principles” initiative. In our company, we have always acted in accordance with the principles guiding the WEP, which include non-discrimination,...
Two scenarios for food prices in Poland
The war in Ukraine, which has now lasted more than a year, is having a huge impact on the situation in Poland and worldwide. Karol Wasilewski of 4CF comments on the rise in food prices caused by Russian aggression against Ukraine and outlines possible future scenarios...
93 contemporary barbarisms from the perspective of 2123
It would be short-sighted to assume that we, as humanity, have reached such a level of maturity that our descendants will not find some aspects of our – apparently civilised – everyday life repulsive and sad. Taking action now is a chance to join the ranks of the...
WORLD FUTURE DAY 2023
JOIN A 24-HOUR CONVERSATION AMONG PEOPLE FROM AROUND THE WORLD TO CELEBRATE WORLD FUTURE DAY. WE START ON 1 MARCH IN NEW ZEALAND, AT 12:00 LOCAL TIME. WE END AT 12:00 IN HAWAII. THIS IS AN OPEN CONVERSATION ABOUT HOW TO BUILD A BETTER FUTURE. YOU CAN JOIN AT ANY TIME...
Earthquake and politics
Turkey's earthquake has huge political significance. This can be seen from the behaviour of Erdoğan himself, who understands that the battle for his political survival has begun, said Dr Karol Wasilewski, Turkey expert and consultant at 4CF The Futures Literacy...
Will we break free from our smartphones?
Are there technologies on the horizon that can help us break free from the smartphone? Maciej Jagaciak of 4CF The Futures Literacy Company commented on RMF Radio the historic snapshot of LeBron James breaking the all-time record for points scored in NBA...
Why is foresight key to future readiness?
In industry, nearly 40% of CEOs do not think their companies will be economically viable a decade from now if they continue on their current path and do not transform. Research also shows that 75% of organisations are not prepared for the pace of change in and around...
EEC Trends
Kacper Nosarzewski reported from yesterday's EECTrends 2023: Łukasz Greinke outlined prospects beyond the expansion of the Port of Gdansk - perhaps the construction of a new port and intermodal terminals in the central part of the Polish Baltic coast. ...
Insight Clash
We would like to encourage you to participate in the next meeting of the Insight Clash series entitled "The future - forecast or design?", in which Kacper Nosarzewski from 4CF The Futures Literacy Company will give a keynote. Together with other speakers: Agnieszka...
Zimbabwe Futures Week
4CF The Futures Literacy Company and the Harare Institute of Technology launch the Zimbabwe Futures Week on 30 January! The training programme, including multiple lessons and laboratories on Futures Research and stakeholders consultation methodologies and...
Polish property development market in 2027
We invite you to read our latest report "Foundations of the Future", which we have prepared on behalf of the Polish Association of Property Developers and Skanska Residential Development Poland. The publication, which presents medium-term development prospects for the...
Housing market trends
"The trend of the 15-minute city and sustainable development - as far as the big housing developers are concerned - is not just an attempt to respond to social needs, but an attempt to match the expectations of capital providers. It is the banks and financial...
Invitation: premiere of the report “Foundations of the future”
What will the real estate development market look like? Please feel invited to a press conference and the premiere of the foresight report "Foundations of the future" Medium-term prospects for changes in the real estate market in Polish cities On behalf...
The future of the housing market
Watch the Otodom Conversations online debate with Kacper Nosarzewski, partner at 4CF The Futures Literacy Company. The debate will take place on 16 January 2023 (Monday) at 13:00. Are we in for another surprise in the housing market in 2023? What changes...
How to accelerate decarbonisation in Poland?
"A gradual but consistent and complete reduction of all forms of subsidies, derogations and other forms of financial support for coal power would bring us closer to full decarbonisation of the energy sector in Poland. Coal is still an important part of Poland's energy...
PR award for research and insights
First PR Wings, now Złote Spinacze. The report we created for Saint-Gobain is unbeatable, having won the most important corporate PR awards in Poland. Congratulations to Icon Strategies and Saint-Gobain Poland for the Polish Cities of the Future 2050...
Nuclear power in cities. Will the SMR or MMR win?
SMR or MMR? The future of nuclear power in cities. In the light of the European sustainable development goals (SDG) and the current geopolitical situation, should we continue to use and develop low-carbon nuclear energy to enable the transition to a more 'green'...
Future of onshore and offshore wind energy
Onshore & offshore wind energy What will the future of onshore and offshore wind farms look like? How big a role can offshore wind energy play in Europe and worldwide? What conditions must be in place to achieve such ambitious goals? Read the 4CF The...
New Proxy to the 4CF Management Board
Dr Anna Sacio-Szymańska has been promoted to Proxy of the 4CF Management Board We’re happy to announce that our colleague - dr Anna Sacio-Szymańska - has been promoted to the Proxy of the Management Board. All the best in your new role Anna! Anna has been with...
Barbarisms
Let’s vote on “What will we disgust people living in 2122 with?” Introduction 4CF The Futures Literacy Company, in cooperation with the Polish Society for Futures Studies, has undertaken an effort to identify things that we can potentially disgust our...
Karol Wasilewski becomes 4CF’s Foresight Advisor
4CF The Futures Literacy Company continues to expand its team of consultants related to the dynamic growth of the company's business and the implementation of new projects around the world and in Poland. This time we are pleased to welcome on board Dr Karol...
V4 2030 Policy Brief
Lessons from the Pandemic: Potential for Radical and Sustainable Change in V4 region It is widely acknowledged that the COVID-19 pandemic has had adverse effects on socioeconomic development globally. However, another important consequence of the virus outbreak...
How can we work to ensure that progress benefits everyone?
What is required to ensure that the progress we generate is as equitable as possible and spreads as far and wide as we can make it? Via Big Think “This is discussion that often happens in #economics about whether we should choose economic growth or...
4CF new website is live!
We are more than happy to announce the launch of our newly designed website. It was time for a fresh new look to accompany our great progress and nearly 20 years of presence on the market. Our mission was to make the brand new website more friendly to our current and...
Nomination for Golden Clips award
Icon Strategies has been shortlisted for a Golden Clips award competition organised by the Polish Association of Public Relations Firms. The Polish Cities of the Future 2050 campaign carried out for the Saint-Gobain Poland Group was among the four best campaigns of...
Food Industry Always Agile
Kacper Nosarzewski, partner, 4CF The Futures Literacy Company and board member of the Polish Society for Futures Studies will take part in the inaugural panel 'Think Agile: The Food Industry Always Agile" of the 15th Food Market & Retail Forum 2022 - the largest...
Dubai Future Forum
What does the future hold? Norbert Kołos, our CEO represents 4CF The Futures Literacy Company at the Dubai Future Forum, the world’s largest foresight gathering, where 400 global futurists gather to imagine opportunities and inspire change. Also the Millennium Project...
Real Estate Developer Congress
Only 100 people will be able to participate in the foresight workshop on the prospects of the real estate market "Foundations of the future", which will take place during the 5th Developer Congress on 18 October in Poznań!!! The event will be hosted by Kacper...
Transatlantic Trends 2022
“Transatlantic Trends 2022” is finally out! The report, one of the best sources of knowledge for those who want to keep an eye on transatlantic cooperation. It also offers some interesting signals about the future. The transatlantic community still sees the US as the...
Eco-City Conference
Hope in times of uncertainty. Kacper Nosarzewski spoke at the Eco-Miasto 2022 conference. Speakers discussed the environmental, social and economic development of Polish cities, global, European and national trends and the fact that it is still possible both to...
Kacper Nosarzewski in the ESG stakeholder council of the University of Warsaw
At the invitation of the University of Warsaw Development Support Office, Kacper Nosarzewski, partner of 4CF The Futures Literacy Company, is participating in the ESG stakeholder council. The office is currently working on the Impact Report, a priority task in the...
V4 2030 Delphi Study Report
We are pleased to announce that our Delphi Study Report "V4 2030 Sustainable Innovation Pathways towards post-COVID recovery" is already available. Executive summary This report summarizes the research undertaken at a regional level in an effort to...
How many people can the Earth ‘hold’?
Its population will soon reach 8 billion. Will technology save us again? According to forecasts, by 2060 there will already be 10 billion of us, by the end of the century almost 11. Will our planet be able to feed humanity and meet its other needs? What are the...
Kacper Nosarzewski has become the mentor of InCredibles
We are delighted to have Kacper Nosarzewski of 4CF The Futures Literacy Company as a mentor for Sebastian Kulczyk's InCredibles - the most comprehensive and long-term competence-building and promotion programme that has been bringing together, training and integrating...
People in the city of the future
"Thirty, forty years from now, cities will not have won the race for reality" "We culturally have a powerful fetish for the city just like the tourists of a century ago almost. We are fascinated by the city, by the mass or the cash, and by the machinery that is only...
Insights about the future of metaverse in 2040
By Pew Research Center “Hype? Hope? Hell? Maybe all three. Experts are split about the likely evolution of a truly immersive metaverse’ They expect that augmented- and mixed-reality enhancements will become more useful in people’s daily lives. Many worry that current...
Masters&Robots
Kacper Nosarzewski took part in the discussion on “A Human in the City of the Future” during Masters&Robots moderated by Dariusz Rosiak and with participation of Joanna Jurga from Instytut Wzornictwa Przemysłowego and Karolina Zdrodowska from the Warsaw City Hall....
Strategic foresight helps creating the best PR campaigns
The communication campaign of the project "Polish cities of the future 2050" by Saint-Gobain, which was designed and implemented by Icon Strategies, and for which foresight research and a report were prepared by: Polish Society for Future Studies and 4CF The Futures...
The next great migration
Are humans nomads by nature and why do they seek new places to live? For the modern world, is mass migration a threat or a hope for the future? Kacper Nosarzewski of 4CF The Futures Literacy Company and an expert of the Polish Society for Futures Studies, will talk...
Economic Forum in Karpacz
We are pleased to be represented by Kacper Nosarzewski as a panelist at the Economic Forum in Karpacz. Kacper spoke on Society 2.0 together with Rudradeb Mitra, Robert Lugowski and Robert Kroplewski in a panel moderated by Damian Ciachorowski. ...
Resilience Frontiers meeting in Botswana
4CF The Futures Literacy Company facilitated the Resilience Frontiers second brainstorming meeting in Gaborone, Botswana as a part of the Botswana Global Adaptation Week 2022. The Botswana Global Adaptation Week is one of the major adaptation events of the year which...
Where a man cannot, a drone can
Maciej Jagaciak, Foresight Engineer at 4CF The Futures Literacy Company and also an expert of the Polish Society for Futures Studies, spoke about the future of the courier industry in the 'Czat Czwórki' programme. "In the pandemic, the most work was done by shipping...
Foresight approaches in global public health
World Health Organization practical guide. We encourage everyone who is responsible for the organisation and delivery of health and health care services to read it. To download the manual click here. We process your data solely for the purpose...
World Population Prospects 2022
The 27th edition of the official United Nations population estimates and projections presents population estimates from 1950 to the present for 237 countries or areas, underpinned by analyses of historical demographic trends. To find out more, please click this link...
Guided tour of the Warsaw Biennale exhibition
Kacper Nosarzewski had the pleasure to walk the visitors through the Biennale Warsaw exhibition and present his own futurologist's perspective on the key challenges of the intertwining of technology, nature, politics, authoritarianism and the new economy! You can find...
2022 Strategic Foresight Report
At the end of June, the European Commission adopted its 2022 Strategic Foresight Report. The document, entitled. "Twinning the green and digital transitions in the new geopolitical context" sets out the EU's priorities and long-term ambitions, taking into account the...
Cogeneration Congress
4CF was pleased to participate in the PTEZ Cogeneration Congress in Kazimierz. The panels provided a lot of interesting data and statements about the energy transition. From the PTEZ paper on the costs of transformation, presented by PGE Energia Ciepła S.A., it was...
Export of grain from Ukraine
Grain transport from Ukraine What are the forecasts and expectations regarding grain transport from Ukraine? Ukraine has managed to harvest a relatively large amount of grain, but in addition to the cultivation and harvesting of the crop itself, exports remain a...
Gas in the energy mix
The place of gas in the energy mix has been called into question. What challenges must be faced by the Polish industry and economy to compensate for the development deficiencies in relation to the rest of Europe, especially Western Europe? Poland's energy mix differs...
Foresight in a New Business World
Foresight in a New Business World. Let’s see an inspiring keynote from Kacper Nosarzewski of 4CF The Futures Literacy Company given during the Future Summit 2022. Click here. We process your data solely for the purpose of sending information...
What and how (not) to teach managers?
In just 3 days we will be talking about "What and how (not) to teach managers?" We invite you to a debate about what Polish managers lack in order to implement effective changes in their organizations. The discussion is organized by the Polish Business Forum...
Smart City – innovative construction of the future
Maciej Jagaciak, a PTSP expert and our colleague from 4CF, spoke at the conference "Smart City - innovative construction of the future" in Krakow about intelligent buildings and cities, including new technologies in construction. The conference was organised by...
How can a company influence its value chain?
The "human" dimension is starting to gain in importance! We warmly invite you to a meeting of sustainability managers organised by Natural Innovations Lab. Kacper Nosarzewski will also speak on the panel "The sum of the efforts of many - cooperation with partners, or...
4CF at the Future Summit 2022
At the Future Summit 2022 in Bucharest focused on how to better understand and prepare for the future Kacper Nosarzewski embraced the idea that ‘if the climate were a bank, it would have been saved.’ In his inspirational speech he said also: “We want reality to be...
Finalists of the World Building Contest
Explore the worlds of the 20 finalists in the World Building Contest organised by The Future of Life Institute. These are visions of a plausible, aspirational future with artificial intelligence, submitted by foresight groups from around the world. Take a look at them...
A food market at war
The war in Ukraine continues. Olimpia Wolf Portal Spożywczy spoke to Kacper Nosarzewski of 4CF Strategic Foresight about smaller grain sowings, disruptions in supply chains, and rising food prices. Listen to the video conversation or read the text with interview...
Smart city is more than technology
Smart cities are about much more than the technological innovations cities offer their citizens. How not to run into a dead end? This issue was discussed by scientists, local government officials and entrepreneurs during the ECC in Katowice. Watch it now. Click here....
Strategic threats for Polish companies
What should we pay attention to after the outbreak of pandemics and war? Kacper Nosarzewski discusses it with editor Marcin Piasecki from Rzeczpospolita in the Rzecz o Biznesie series. Click here to watch. We process your data solely for the...
Beyond 5G: what would 6G look like — and do we need it?
The ‘Internet of the Senses’ and a ‘cyber-physical continuum’ are on engineers’ horizon. ‘Interacting with the network in a more immersive way — that is what 6G is likely to enable’. Click here to read more. We process your data solely for the...
SDG in the clothing industry
Efforts to tackle the climate crisis and inequality in fashion industry are not nearly fast enough. Only 11% of brands publish on identified human rights and environmental risks and violations, while just 8% of brands disclose their actions to cease, prevent, mitigate...
How to create a smart city?
"In a large Polish city, there is a smart heating network, but also totems informing how much cyclists have to pedal to make it to the next traffic light. In this city, two buildings are connected to the district heating network, while 100 still burn in coal cookers -...
European Economic Congress in Katowice
The European Economic Congress (EEC) in Katowice, a forum for meetings and debates about challenges and the future, is underway. A topic particularly important and close to 4CF Strategic Foresight is green and digital transformation and the strategies of large...
Stories from 2050
Radical, inspiring and thought-provoking narratives around challenges and opportunities of our futures. “The stories are built on ideas of people from all around the world. These range from plausible sci-fi stories of the future to fictional fairy tales that...
4CF gamebooks at the Speculative Futures Berlin event
How can we improve the learning experience of scenarioanalysis? Let's find out in Speculative Futures Berlin and Ellery Studio next workshop event on the 11th of May, 18:30 – 20:00 CET with Kacper Nosarzewski from 4CF Strategic Foresight and the immersive capabilities...
Future Summit 2022 in Bucharest
Join us for the next Future Summit 2022 in Bucharest! Kacper Nosarzewski from 4CF Strategic Foresight and Polish Society for Futures Studies will speak on foresight in a new business world. Click here to buy your tickets. All revenue from offline/online tickets will...
21 solutions that will be used in the construction of the future
Reach out for the report Polish Cities of the Future 2050 of Saint-Gobain Poland, which was created in cooperation with 4CF Strategic Foresight. Check which will become popular the fastest: Energy-generating elements as part of the building structure Wind turbines...
How to build the resilience of cities in times of uncertainty?
At the European Congress of Local Governments, Kacper Nosarzewski of 4CF participated in the panel "Times of uncertainty - how to build cities' resilience?" It discussed a holistic approach to crises and how to build resilience in cities. The organisers of the panel...
EU Work-life Balance Directive
Important for employers and parents! Equal at home - equal at work! We invite you to download the SHARE THE CARE Foundation's new publication for employers and working parents and to a series of debates dedicated to this topic.One of them, in which a new look at the...
Regulation of Artificial intelligence
A new Pew Research Center poll shows that Americans look with hope to artificial intelligence and its potential to improve everyday life and human abilities. What matters to respondents is how these technologies would be used, what the limitations would be and who...
Trends Affecting Government and Society
U.S. Government Accountability Office publishes a strategic plan every 4 years to guide its work as it helps lawmakers oversee federal operations. The latest plan includes 12 papers on trends that will likely affect government and society in the next 5 to 15 years —...
Is IT the perfect home for a corporate strategic foresight function?
Strategic foresight scans the horizon for emerging technologies and relates trends to the various organizational strategies, engaging stakeholders through facilitated workshops and ongoing roundtable discussions in-between “research sprints,” helping IT teams to run...
Why does Putin need a war?
Why does Putin need war? We invite you to read korso.pl's conversation with Kacper Nosarzewski, partner at 4CF. You can read the article by clicking here. We process your data solely for the purpose of sending information about 4CF Sp. z o.o....
Kacper Nosarzewski on the end of civilisation in TVP
What is the risk of the end of civilisation? This is what Kacper Nosarzewski from 4CF Strategic Foresight and Agaton Koziński talked about in Pytanie na Śniadanie programme on Channel 2 of Polish Television. Click here to watch. We process your...
Our civilization is at risk
It's 100 seconds to midnight according to the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists's Doomsday Clock. The risk of nuclear war was never so high in the history of the Earth. It's got the top priority status in the scenarios discussed by the world’s futurists and...
Poland’s food security
Specialists, including Kacper Nosarzewski from 4CF Strategic Foresight, talk about Poland's food security in the context of the war in the granary of the world. PortalSpozywczy.pl: Ukraine and Russia account for nearly 30% of global wheat exports. Disruptions in...
Weak signals of changes in trends
We encourage you to have a look at the report on weak signals of changes in trends issued by The Finnish Innovation Fund Sitra. “If you gaze at trends, you can get caught up in ongoing changes and become blind to the surprises. Look also at weak signals which...
New Frontiers: The Future Narratives of Refugee Crises
We encourage you to read the new report by Leah Zaidi for UNHCR, the UN Refugee Agency. The report uses foresight methodology, but is light and focused on narrative rather than future facts. Read it here. We process your data solely for the...
Refugees in Poland are also consumers and workers
Refugees in Poland are also consumers and employees. Kacper Nosarzewski of 4CF Strategic Foresight in dlahandlu.pl portal talks about what the war will change in trade. Click here and read. We process your data solely for the purpose of sending...
The Geography and Political Economy of Artificial Intelligence
“Atlas of AI”, a book by Kate Crawford published by Yale University Press 2021 could equally be titled "The Geography and Political Economy of Artificial Intelligence". It is one of the best, if not the best book devoted to AI. Its main value lies in its holistic...
2022 Tech and Science Trends by Future Today Institute
2022 Tech and Science Trends Report by Future Today Institute is a must-read. Learn the key trends impacting all key sectors and industries. Discover critical insights. Inside you will find key insights on: Artificial Intelligence, Data, Recognition & Scoring,...
Potential outcomes of the war in the Ukraine
Explore on potential outcomes of the war in the Ukraine and explore possibilities for the future of the country with Kacper Nosarzewski from 4CF Strategic Foresight and Dr. Epaminondas Christophilopoulos, Head of UNESCO Chair on Futures Research, Chief Scientific...
How to see the future coming and feel ready for anything
Professor Jane McGonigal of the Institute for the Future has published a new book. Its title is IMAGINABLE: How to see the future coming and feel ready for anything - even things that seem impossible today. In IMAGINABLE, Jane McGonigal draws on the latest scientific...
3 scenarios for war in the Ukraine
Since the day Russia invaded Ukraine, we have been asking ourselves how this conflict will end and how it will affect the economy, grain production and exports. Three scenarios of war in Ukraine according to Kacper Nosarzewski of 4CF Strategic Foresight prepared for...
Time to act! Summary of the IPCC report on climate change
The time to act is now! Read the Polish summary of the latest IPCC report, which assesses the impacts of climate change on ecosystems, biodiversity and societies at global and regional levels. It also reviews vulnerability to climate change and the opportunities and...
4CF Strategic Foresight statement on the war in Ukraine
No foresighter wants his worst-case scenarios to ever come true. We always create them in the hope that we can avoid them. Therefore, it is painful to see it happen otherwise. We fully endorse the statement of our European colleagues from FEN - the network we have...
4CF and the City of Wrocław at the METREX meeting
We are proud to participate in the next METREX meeting to present Wrocław scenarios for the future which 4CF Strategic Foresight developed recently together with the CIty of Wrocław! The meeting will be devoted to “Scenarios of an unpredictable future and today’s...
New book on the future of synthetic biology
We recommend Amy Webb's and Andrew Hessel's new book on the future of synthetic biology. Synthetic biology could revolutionize how we define family, how we diagnose disease and treat aging, where we build our homes, and how we eat. This fast-growing field - which uses...
About the unpredictable future
The runaway future. Monetising the internet. Life in the real world versus virtual life. How to predict the future? Where will the next breakthrough come from? Let's prepare for different scenarios. Listen to the Panoptykon 4.0 Foundation podcast. In this episode,...
1 March – World Future Day
Celebrate World Future Day with us on 1 March! As every year, The Millennium Project, a global think-tank for future studies, is organising a 24-hour global conversation between futurists and the public about the challenges and opportunities of building a better...
Recycling and technology
Our colleague Zofia Dębska wrote an article published on the portal of the Polish Society for Future Studies about how technology can help to achieve the goals of a circular economy by 2050 in the field of recycling. Read the article here. We...
Biennale Warszawa 2022
Are our lives better understood and predictable for algorithms than for ourselves? Have we all been classified and put up for sale long ago already? Read an interesting conversation of Bartosz Frąckowiak and Sylwia Niemczyk in Przekrój on this year's Biennale Warszawa...
Technology and intimate life
Will technology ever be able to replace the intimacy of another human being? A revolution in technology is being made by the sextech industry, offering products designed to spice up intimate life in an era of social distance. We recommend the article by Gosia Fraser...
Will there be no concerts in the future?
K-pop stars give online concerts in which reality mixes with fantasy creations. Listen to the Wyborcza.pl podcast and Vadim Makarenko's conversation with Stanislaw Trzcinski about the future of concerts. Click here. We process your data solely...
25 hours of futures & foresight sessions
Association of Professional Futurists has launched a YouTube channel with over 25 hours of futures & foresight sessions led by its members and practitioners that are free to access! You can subscribe to the channel and access sessions here. [wpforms...
Qualifications and competencies sought in Mazovia
By 2030, a significant increase in the number of employees is expected in Masovia. There are, however, 5 factors that could disrupt the trend: automation and digitisation, networking, climate change and the green transformation, the development of new employee...
Will robots take our jobs?
Maciej Jagaciak (4CF Strategic Foresight) and Agnieszka Piłat (Boston Dynamics) talked about robots being trained to become exemplary citizens and potentially replacing us at work in TVP2's morning programme Question for Breakfast. Watch [PL]. We...
The great comeback of space
Saturday's Plus Minus section of the Rzeczpospolita daily contains an article on the Great Comeback of Space with Kacper Nosarzewski's comments on the potential benefits of space exploration and the plausibility of space mining or even the transfer of heavy industry...
The future is now exhibition
We encourage you to visit the Future is Now exhibition at the Copernicus Science Center. The project is a cooperation between the Chancellery of the Prime Minister of Poland and the Research and Academic Computer Network. It is an opportunity to learn about the latest...
Spanish futurists about the future
How do Spanish futurists see the future? Read an article about: technology, geostrategy, mobility, energy, cities, cybersecurity, the brain, medicine, longevity, finance biology, research, and the metaverse. Includes input from: Isabel de Salas, Miguel Jiménez, Marcos...
Polish Cities of the Future 2050 — extended report
You can now read an extended version of the Polish Cities of the Future 2050 report prepared by Saint-Gobain in cooperation with the Polish Society for Futures Studies and 4CF Strategic Foresight. We process your data solely for the purpose of...
France preparing for a war of the future
Science fiction authors, screenwriters and cartoonists are designing future conflict scenarios — some plausible, others more difficult to imagine from a modern perspective. The goal is to help the French Ministry of Armed Forces prepare for wars in a 2030-2060...
Increasing irrelevance of factual truth in public discourse
The increasing irrelevance of factual truth in public discourse is part of a groundswell trend that started decades ago, confirms a research study by Wageningen University & Research and Indiana University Bloomington. We process your data...
Fashion vs. the environment
Can excessive clothes-shopping harm the environment? Yes. According to the World Wildlife Fund, almost 3,000 litres of water are needed to produce just one cotton shirt. What other threats are linked to the clothing industry? How to buy the clothes you need and avoid...
Kacper Nosarzewski on professional success for Radio 357
How to achieve professional success? Is it ruled by chance, contacts or skills? Listen to Jaroslaw Sroka's Firmament podcast on Radio 357 to hear some expert opinion's on the matter. Guests include Anna Rulkiewicz from LuxMed, Kacper Nosarzewski from 4CF Strategic...
Wrocław using foresight to develop 2050 strategy
Wrocław is working on its 2050 strategy and is one of the elite few cities that rely on foresight to prepare for upcoming challenges. Further details can be found on the Municipal Portal. We process your data solely for the purpose of sending...
Winners of the Climate Community Lab Competition
The Climate Community Lab Competition is an initiative founded by Climate-KIC. It supports the inhabitants of Central and Eastern Europe's coal regions in moving away from fossil fuels. This year's winners: the Foundation of the Civil Affairs Institute in Łódź, Valea...
Margaret Atwood, dystopias and a brighter future
Margaret Atwood has imagined a future society that imprisons law-abiding citizens ("The Heart Goes Last"), a post-apocalyptic world filled with genetically modified creatures ("Oryx and Crake") and, most famously, a theocracy that forces fertile women to bear children...
Wrocław and its four scenarios for the future.
4CF Strategic Foresight has prepared four multi-domain scenarios for the future of Wrocław in a 2050 perspective. The scenarios are based on recent foresight studies and will be a key element for developing the city's strategy at the end of 2023. You can listen to...
Kacper Nosarzewski and Henryk Kwapisz from Saint-Gobain talk about Polish cities of the future
Will we have a 12-hour workday in 15-minute cities, or will most of us abandon large agglomerations? Watch a discussion about the Polish Cities of the Future 2050 report, about the ambitions of future cities and tomorrow's solutions. We process...
Annual Meeting of The Millenium Project Planning Committee
The annual meeting of The Millennium Project Planning Committee took place today. The discussed topics included the recent accomplishments and upcoming initiatives of the global futures studies and research think tank. We process your data solely...
4CF on the future of cities — TVP3
What will the Polish cities of the future look like, and what will be the status of Poznań among those agglomerations? These questions were discussed on TVP3 Poznań's "Mirrors" programme by Kacper Nosarzewski from the Polish Society for Futures Studies, Iwona...
What future do you want? We would love to hear from you!
What is the future of your dreams? Your visions will be compiled into a collective view of ‘Our Future’, which will inspire policy- and decision-makers to help us shape the new reality. The European Commission has launched a new project called #OurFutures. They invite...
ESG bible from Laudes Foundation
Efforts to tackle climate and inequality in the fashion industry, construction, finance, and on capital markets are not happening at the right pace or on the desired scale. What are the systemic levers for more rapid change? Read the Laudes Foundation's latest ESG...
Polish Cities of the Future 2050
The foresight study, report and The Polish Cities of the Future 2050 ranking were prepared by a team of experts from the Polish Society for Futures Studies, Saint-Gobain Poland Group and the 4CF Strategic Foresight consulting company. Warsaw took the top spot in the...
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